Chifukwa Chiyani Kugulitsa Kwa Thonje Kudapitilira Kuchulukira Mu Okutobala?

Chifukwa Chiyani Kugulitsa Kwa Thonje Kudapitilira Kuchulukira Mu Okutobala?

Malinga ndi ziwerengero za General Administration of Customs, mu Okutobala 2022, China idatengera thonje matani 129500, kuchuluka kwa 46% pachaka ndi 107% mwezi pamwezi.Pakati pawo, kuitanitsa kwa thonje ku Brazil kunakula kwambiri, ndipo kuitanitsa kwa thonje ku Australia kunakulanso kwambiri.Pambuyo pa kukula kwa chaka ndi chaka kwa 24.52% ndi 19.4% ya thonje yochokera kunja mu August ndi September, kuchuluka kwa thonje kunja kwa October kunakula kwambiri, koma kukula kwa chaka ndi chaka kunali kosayembekezereka.

Mosiyana kwambiri ndi kubwezeredwa kwamphamvu kwa thonje kumayiko akunja mu Okutobala, China idalowa kunja kwa thonje mu Okutobala inali pafupifupi matani 60000, kutsika kwa mwezi pamwezi pafupifupi matani 30000, kuchepa kwa chaka ndi chaka pafupifupi 56.0%.Chiwopsezo chonse cha ulusi wa thonje ku China chinatsikanso kwambiri pambuyo pa kutsika kwa chaka ndi chaka kwa 63.3%, 59.41% ndi 52.55% motsatira mu July, August ndi September.Malinga ndi ziwerengero za m'madipatimenti oyenerera aku India, India idatumiza matani 26200 a thonje mu Seputembala (HS: 5205), kutsika ndi 19.38% mwezi pamwezi ndi 77.63% chaka ndi chaka;Matani 2200 okha ndi omwe adatumizidwa ku China, kutsika ndi 96.44% chaka ndi chaka, kuwerengera 3.75%.

Chifukwa chiyani kugulitsa thonje ku China kudapitilira kukula mu Okutobala?Kusanthula kwamakampani kumakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi izi:

Choyamba, ICE idagwa kwambiri, zomwe zidakopa ogula aku China kusaina makontrakitala ogula thonje lakunja.M'mwezi wa Okutobala, tsogolo la thonje la ICE linali ndi vuto lakuthwa, ndipo ng'ombezo zinali ndi mfundo yofunika kwambiri ya masenti 70 / paundi.Kusinthika kwamtengo wa thonje wamkati ndi kunja kunatsika kwambiri mpaka pafupifupi 1500 yuan/ton.Chifukwa chake, si kuchuluka kwa mapangano amitengo ya ON-CALL okha omwe adatsekedwa, komanso mabizinesi ena aku China opanga nsalu za thonje ndi amalonda adalowa mumsika kuti akope zapansi pamgwirizano waukulu wa ICE pafupifupi 70-80 cents/pound.Malonda a thonje ndi katundu anali achangu kwambiri kuposa mu Ogasiti ndi Seputembala.

Chachiwiri, mpikisano wa thonje wa ku Brazil, thonje la ku Australia ndi thonje lina lakumwera lakhala bwino.Poganizira kuti osati kutulutsa kwa thonje waku America mu 2022/23 kudzatsika kwambiri chifukwa cha nyengo, komanso giredi, mtundu ndi zizindikiro zina sizingakwaniritse ziyembekezo.Kuphatikiza apo, kuyambira Julayi, thonje lalikulu kum'mwera kwa dziko lapansi lalembedwa m'malo apakati, ndipo mawu a thonje la ku Australia ndi thonje la Brazil / thonje lopangidwa ndi thonje lapitilirabe kubwerera (lomwe likukulirakulira kutsika kwakukulu kwa ICE mu Okutobala). ), chiŵerengero cha ntchito zamtengo wapatali chikukula kwambiri;Kuphatikiza apo, ndi mafakitale a nsalu ndi zovala "golide zisanu ndi zinayi ndi siliva khumi", kuchuluka kwa malamulo otumizira kunja kukubwera, kotero mabizinesi aku China ndi amalonda aku China akhala patsogolo pa paketiyo kuti awonjezere kutulutsa kwa thonje kunja.

Chachitatu, ubale waku China waku US wayamba kuchepa komanso kutenthedwa.Kuyambira Okutobala, misonkhano yayikulu komanso kusinthana pakati pa China ndi United States kwakula, ndipo ubale wamalonda wayamba kukula.China yawonjezera kufunsa ndi kutumiza kunja kwa zinthu zaulimi zaku America (kuphatikiza thonje), ndipo thonje logwiritsa ntchito mabizinesi awonjezera zogula zawo za thonje waku America mu 2021/22.

Chachinayi, mabizinesi ena adakhazikika pakugwiritsa ntchito mitengo yotsika komanso 1% ya thonje yochokera kunja.Mtengo wowonjezera wa 400000 ton sliding tariff wotuluka mu 2022 sungathe kuwonjezedwa ndipo ugwiritsidwa ntchito kumapeto kwa Disembala posachedwa.Poganizira nthawi yotumiza, mayendedwe, kutumiza, ndi zina zambiri, mabizinesi opota thonje ndi amalonda omwe ali ndi gawoli azisamalira kwambiri kugula thonje lakunja ndikugaya gawolo.Zachidziwikire, popeza kutsika kwa mtengo wa thonje womangidwa, kutumiza India, Pakistan, Vietnam ndi malo ena mu Okutobala kunali kotsika kwambiri kuposa thonje lakunja, mabizinesi amakonda kuitanitsa thonje kuti atumize kunja kwa mizere yapakati ndi yayitali, ndipo perekani pambuyo popota, kuluka, ndi zovala kuti muchepetse ndalama ndikuwonjezera phindu.