Kodi Zotsatira Zakuchepa Kwakukulu Kwa Zogulitsa Za thonje zaku Vietnamese?

Kodi Zotsatira Zakuchepa Kwakukulu Kwa Zogulitsa Za thonje zaku Vietnamese?
Malinga ndi ziwerengero, mu February 2023, Vietnam idagula thonje 77000 matani (otsika kuposa voliyumu yomwe imalowa m'zaka zisanu zapitazi), kutsika kwachaka ndi 35.4%, pomwe mabizinesi opangira nsalu akunja adatenga 74% pa voliyumu yonse yotumizidwa kunja kwa mweziwo (chiwongola dzanja chowonjezera mu 2022/23 chinali matani 796000, kuchepa kwa chaka ndi 12.0%).

Pambuyo pa kuchepa kwa chaka ndi chaka ndi 45.2% ndi kutsika kwa mwezi ndi mwezi kwa 30.5% pa thonje lochokera ku Vietnam mu Januware 2023, katundu wa thonje ku Vietnam adatsika kwambiri chaka ndi chaka, ndi kuwonjezeka kwakukulu poyerekeza ndi kale. miyezi ya chaka chino.Kuchuluka kwa thonje la ku America, thonje la ku Brazil, thonje la ku Africa, ndi thonje waku Australia ndi zina mwapamwamba.M'zaka zaposachedwa, kuchuluka kwa thonje waku India ku msika waku Vietnam kwatsika kwambiri, ndi zizindikiro zosiya pang'onopang'ono.

Chifukwa chiyani kuchuluka kwa thonje ku Vietnam kwatsika chaka ndi chaka m'miyezi yaposachedwa?Chigamulo cha wolemba chikugwirizana mwachindunji ndi izi:

Chimodzi ndi chakuti chifukwa cha kukhudzidwa kwa mayiko monga China ndi European Union, omwe motsatizana akweza zoletsa zawo pa katundu wa thonje ku Xinjiang, zovala ndi zovala za Vietnam, zomwe zimagwirizana kwambiri ndi thonje la China, nsalu zotuwa, nsalu, zovala. , ndi zina zotero, zatsitsidwanso kwambiri, ndipo kufunikira kwa thonje kwawonetsa kuchepa.

Chachiwiri, chifukwa cha kukhudzidwa kwa chiwongoladzanja cha kukwera kwa chiwongoladzanja ndi Federal Reserve ndi European Central Bank ndi kukwera kwa inflation, kulemera kwa nsalu za thonje ndi zovala zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito m'mayiko otukuka monga ku Ulaya ndi United States zasintha ndi kuchepa.Mwachitsanzo, mu Januware 2023, zida zonse zaku Vietnam zogulitsa zovala ndi zovala ku United States zinali US $ 991 miliyoni (zowerengera gawo lalikulu (pafupifupi 44.04%), pomwe zotumiza ku Japan ndi South Korea zinali US $ 248 miliyoni ndi US $ 244 miliyoni. , motsatana, kusonyeza kuchepa kwakukulu poyerekeza ndi nthawi yomweyi mu 202.

Kuyambira kotala lachinayi la 2022, pomwe mafakitale opanga nsalu za thonje ndi zovala ku Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Indonesia, ndi mayiko ena atsika ndikuwonjezeranso, kuchuluka kwa zoyambira kwakula, ndipo mpikisano ndi mabizinesi aku Vietnamese a nsalu ndi zovala wakula kwambiri. , ndi kutayika kwadongosolo pafupipafupi.

Chachinayi, potengera kutsika kwa ndalama zamayiko ambiri motsutsana ndi dollar yaku US, Banki Yaikulu yaku Vietnam yathetsa zomwe zikuchitika padziko lonse lapansi pokulitsa malonda atsiku ndi tsiku a dollar yaku US/Vietnamese dong kuchoka pa 3% mpaka 5% yamitengo yapakati. pa Okutobala 17, 2022, zomwe sizothandiza ku Vietnam nsalu za thonje ndi zovala zotumizidwa kunja.Mu 2022, ngakhale ndalama za ku Vietnamese dong motsutsana ndi dola yaku US zidatsika pafupifupi 6.4%, ikadali imodzi mwandalama zaku Asia zomwe zidatsika pang'ono.

Malinga ndi ziwerengero, mu Januwale 2023, zovala za Vietnam ndi zovala zogulitsa kunja zidakwana madola 2.25 biliyoni a US, kuchepa kwa chaka ndi 37.6%;Mtengo wa ulusi wotumiza kunja unali US $225 miliyoni, kutsika kwapachaka ndi 52.4%.Zitha kuwoneka kuti kutsika kwakukulu kwapachaka kwa thonje ku Vietnam mu Januware ndi Febuluwale 2022 sikunapitirire zomwe tinkayembekezera, koma zinali chiwonetsero chazofunikira zamabizinesi komanso momwe msika uliri.