Zosungirako zikupitilirabe, ndipo kutumiza thonje yaku Brazil kukuchedwa

Malinga ndi ndemanga za mabizinesi amalonda a thonje ku Jiangsu, Shandong ndi malo ena, ngakhale zida za thonje (kuphatikiza zomangika ndi zosagwirizana) m'madoko akulu aku China zapitilira kutsika kuyambira Novembala, komanso kuchuluka kwa malo osungiramo zinthu omwe ali ndi malo opotoka pang'ono. nyumba yosungiramo zinthu zosavutikira mkati ndi nyumba yosungiramo katundu ngakhale yoposa 60%, poyerekeza ndi thonje la ku America, thonje la ku Africa, thonje la India ndi zina "zogulitsa kunja zimaposa kunja", kuchuluka kwa madoko a thonje ku Brazil kukupitilira kukwera pang'ono, kuphatikiza chuma mu 2020, 2021 ndi 2022. yellow

Wochita malonda a thonje pachilumbachi adanena kuti mpaka pano, zinthu za thonje za ku Brazil zomwe zatchulidwa ku RMB ndi madoko ndizochepa, ndipo kuwonjezeka kwa thonje ndi katundu womangidwa ndizodziwika kwambiri.Kumbali imodzi, kuyambira Seputembala, thonje la Brazil lipitiliza kutumiza ku msika waku China ku 2022 (malinga ndi ziwerengero, Brazil idatumiza matani 189700 a thonje mu Seputembala, pomwe matani osachepera 80000 adatumizidwa ku China).Pakati pa mwezi wa October, thonje la ku Brazil lidzafika motsatizana ku Hong Kong ndikulowa m'nyumba yosungiramo katundu;Kumbali ina, chifukwa cha kutsika kwakukulu kwa RMB mu Okutobala komanso magawo ochepa a thonje otengera thonje omwe adasiyidwa m'manja mwa mabizinesi a nsalu za thonje ndi mabizinesi amalonda, chilolezo chololeza thonje ku Brazil sichikugwira ntchito.

Kuchokera pamalingaliro amsika, ngakhale kuti ndalama zogulira ndalama za dollar yaku US monga thonje lomangidwa ku Brazil ndi katundu wotumizira zikupitilira kuwonjezeka, komanso chidwi chamakampani apakhomo kufunsa ndi kuyang'ana katundu nawonso chawonjezeka poyerekeza ndi zomwe zachitika mu Seputembala ndi Okutobala, malonda enieni akadali ofooka kwambiri, koma amangofunika kutenga katunduyo m'magulu ndi magawo.Kuphatikiza pa kutsika kwa 1% tariff quota ndi tariff quota, ikugwirizananso ndi zinthu ziwiri izi:

Choyamba, mtengo wa dollar yaku America wa thonje waku Brazil umagwirizana kwambiri ndi wa mpikisano wake, thonje waku America, ndipo chiŵerengero cha kagwiridwe ka ntchito chikuyenera kukonzedwanso.Mwachitsanzo, pa November 15-16, mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa Brazil thonje M 1-1/8 pa tsiku lotumiza la November/December/Januware padoko lalikulu la China ndi pafupifupi 103.80-105.80 senti/mapaundi;Mawu a thonje waku America 31-3/31-4 36/37 pa tsiku lomwelo lotumiza ndi 105.10-107.10 cents/pounds, ndipo kusasinthika, kupota ndi kutulutsa kwa thonje waku America ndizolimba kuposa thonje waku Brazil.

Chachiwiri, posachedwapa, mbali yaikulu ya katundu traceability kuti makontrakitala anavomera kugwiritsa ntchito "American thonje blending" (kuphatikiza nsalu ndi zovala re export trade ku Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia ndi mayiko ena), makamaka kupewa chiopsezo kukhala. kumangidwa ndi kuwonongedwa ndi miyambo popereka katundu kwa ogula ku United States, European Union ndi mayiko ena.Kuonjezera apo, zizindikiro za kalasi ndi khalidwe la thonje la ku Africa lakhala likuyenda bwino m'zaka ziwiri zapitazi, ndipo kusasinthasintha ndi kusinthasintha kwakhala kopambana kwa thonje la Indian, thonje la Pakistani, thonje la Mexico, ndi zina zotero, komanso m'malo mwa thonje la ku Brazil ndi zina zotero. Thonje waku America akukhala wamphamvu komanso wamphamvu.